Traditional variational Kalman filtering with unknown noise statistics suffers from inconsistent process covariance estimation and slow convergence speed, limiting its practical utility. To address these issues, we introduce a surrogate variable representing the process-noise-free state, which enables explicit modeling and inference of process noise statistics. In addition, we reformulate the conventional coordinate ascent variation inference (CAVI) as a marginalized maximum a posteriori problem, followed by a single-step hyperparameter fitting. This reformulation obviates the need for multiple inner iterations inherent to CAVI and decouples the design of the covariance tracking filters. Consequently, this architecture permits the deployment of higher-order filters for covariance tracking and enables sliding-window hyperparameter estimation. Notably, when this window encompasses all historical data, the covariance tracking estimator intrinsically operates as a zero-phase filter. Numerical simulations validate the theoretical framework, demonstrating the enhanced convergence speed and superior estimation accuracy compared with existing methods.

In classification tasks, softmax functions are ubiquitously used as output activations to produce predictive probabilities. Such outputs only capture aleatoric uncertainty. To capture epistemic uncertainty, approximate Gaussian inference methods have been proposed. We develop a common formalism to describe such methods, which we view as outputting Gaussian distributions over the logit space. Predictives are then obtained as the expectations of the Gaussian distributions pushed forward through the softmax.

A major challenge in using diffusion models is aligning outputs with user-defined conditions. Existing conditional generation methods fall into two major categories: classifier-based guidance, which requires differentiable target models and gradientbased correction; and classifier-free guidance, which embeds conditions directly into the diffusion model but demands expensive joint training and architectural coupling. In this work, we introduce a third paradigm: DISCrete nOise (DISCO) guidance, which replaces the continuous conditional correction term with a finite codebook of discrete noise vectors sampled from a Gaussian prior. Conditional generation is reformulated as a code selection task, and we train prediction network to choose the optimal code given the intermediate diffusion state and the conditioning input. Our approach is differentiability-free, and training-efficient, avoiding the gradient computation and architectural redundancy of prior methods. Empirical results demonstrate that DISCO achieves competitive controllability while substantially reducing resource demands, positioning it as a scalable and effective alternative for conditional diffusion generation.

Variational inference seeks the best approximation of a target distribution within a chosen family, where "best" means minimising Kullback-Leibler divergence. When the approximation family is exponential, the optimal approximation satisfies a fixed-point equation. We introduce LSVI (Least Squares Variational Inference), a gradient-free, Monte Carlo-based scheme for the fixed-point recursion, where each iteration boils down to performing ordinary least squares regression on tempered log-target evaluations under the variational approximation. We show that LSVI is equivalent to biased stochastic natural gradient descent and use this to derive convergence rates with respect to the numbers of samples and iterations. When the approximation family is Gaussian, LSVI involves inverting the Fisher information matrix, whose size grows quadratically with dimension d. We exploit the regression formulation to eliminate the need for this inversion, yielding O(d3) complexity in the full-covariance case and O(d) in the mean-field case. Finally, we numerically demonstrate LSVI's performance on various tasks, including logistic regression, discrete variable selection, and Bayesian synthetic likelihood, showing results competitive with state-of-the-art methods, even when gradients are unavailable.

Deep ensembles deliver state-of-the-art, reliable uncertainty quantification, but their heavy computational and memory requirements hinder their practical deployments to real applications such as on-device AI. Knowledge distillation compresses an ensemble into small student models, but existing techniques struggle to preserve uncertainty partly because reducing the size of DNNs typically results in variation reduction. To resolve this limitation, we introduce a new method of distribution distillation (i.e.

While deep neural networks possess the capability to perform semantic segmentation, producing a single deterministic output limits reliability in safety-critical applications caused by uncertainty and annotation variability. To address this, stochastic segmentation models using Conditional Variational Autoencoders (CVAE), Bayesian networks, and diffusion have been explored. However, existing approaches suffer from limited latent expressiveness and interpretability. Furthermore, our experiments showed that models like Probabilistic U-Net rely excessively on high latent variance, leading to posterior collapse. This work propose a novel framework by integrating Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) with Normalizing Flow (NF) in CVAE for stochastic segmentation. GMM structures the latent space into meaningful semantic clusters, while NF captures feature deformations with quantified uncertainty. Our method stabilizes latent distributions through constrained variance and mean ranges. Experiments on LIDC, Crack500, and Cityscapes datasets show that our approach outperformed state-of-the-art in curvilinear structure and medical image segmentation.

Although Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have demonstrated remarkable achievements in recent years, they remain vulnerable to adversarial examples that result in harmful responses. Existing attacks typically focus on optimizing adversarial perturbations for a certain multimodal image-prompt pair or fixed training dataset, which often leads to overfitting. Consequently, these perturbations fail to remain malicious once transferred to attack unseen image-prompt pairs, suffering from significant resource costs to cover the diverse multimodal inputs in complicated real-world scenarios. To alleviate this issue, this paper proposes a novel adversarial attack on MLLMs based on distribution approximation theory, which models the potential image-prompt input distribution and adds the same distribution-fitting adversarial perturbation on multimodal input pairs to achieve effective cross-image/prompt transfer attacks. Specifically, we exploit the Laplace approximation to model the Gaussian distribution of the image and prompt inputs for the MLLM, deriving an estimate of the mean and covariance parameters. By sampling from this approximated distribution with Monte Carlo mechanism, we efficiently optimize and fit a single input-agnostic perturbation over diverse image-prompt pairs, yielding strong universality and transferability. Extensive experiments are conducted to verify the strong adversarial capabilities of our proposed attack against prevalent MLLMs spanning a spectrum of images/prompts.

We study the generalized linear bandit (GLB) problem, a contextual multi-armed bandit framework that extends the classical linear model by incorporating a nonlinear link function, thereby modeling a broad class of reward distributions such as Bernoulli and Poisson. While GLBs are widely applicable to real-world scenarios, their non-linear nature introduces significant challenges in achieving both computational and statistical efficiency. Existing methods typically trade off between two objectives, either incurring high per-round costs for optimal regret guarantees or compromising statistical efficiency to enable constant-time updates. In this paper, we propose a jointly efficient algorithm that attains a nearly optimal regret bound with O(1)time and space complexities per round. The core of our method is a tight confidence set for the online mirror descent (OMD) estimator, which is derived through a novel analysis that leverages the notion of mix loss from online prediction. The analysis shows that our OMD estimator, even with its one-pass updates, achieves statistical efficiency comparable to maximum likelihood estimation, thereby leading to a jointly efficient optimistic method.

Continual learning (CL) aims to incrementally train a model to a sequence of tasks while maintaining performance on previously seen ones. Despite mitigating forgetting, data storage and replay are often infeasible due to privacy or security constraints and are impractical for arbitrary pre-trained models. Data-free or examplar-free CL aims to continually update models with new tasks without storing previous data. In addition to regularizing updates, we employ model inversion to synthesize data from the trained model, anchoring learned knowledge through replay without retaining old data. However, model inversion in predictive models faces two key challenges.

We propose a novel regularization loss that enforces standard Gaussianity, encouraging samples to align with a standard Gaussian distribution.